It abstained from voting against the U.N. Its strongest ally, China, has largely remained on the sidelines since the war started. To fight a world war, Russia needs powerful allies, which it does not have. The second is that Russia has become isolated. It is possible that if the Russian military continues to struggle, Russian President Vladimir Putin will deploy chemical or even nuclear weapons to increase gains and deter the West from interfering-but that is unlikely. The expectation that Moscow will be able to escalate the war into other theaters in an effective way, especially by conventional means, is unrealistic. The expectation that Moscow could escalate the war into other theaters in an effective way, especially by conventional means, is unrealistic.ĭamaging economic sanctions also mean that Russia may not be able to fund a wider war. Their forces are not sufficiently trained their equipment and weapons are dated and inferior they experience major logistical, operational, and tactical difficulties and their soldiers have low morale. The first is that Russia’s military capabilities are poor relative to those of Western armies. There are two reasons that this is unlikely. The main concern is any such escalation could lead to World War III. However, Russia’s indiscriminate attacks against Ukrainian civilians-including bombing hospitals and schools as well as the use of horrific weapons, such as cluster bombs and white phosphorus-should drive the West to reevaluate its war engagement policy and take a more active role by implementing a no-fly zone or securing evacuation corridors-perhaps even actively fighting Russian forces. Diplomatic efforts to keep Russia isolated have also been crucial. Sanctions against Russia have been severe, and Ukrainian forces have been receiving weapons, equipment, and valuable intelligence from Western nations, which have allowed them to deploy unexpected force against Russian troops-fiercely contesting their invasion and causing thousands of casualties, loss of tanks, and other armored vehicles, rocket launchers, aircraft, and ships. 24, it was clear that Western nations would stick to a policy of nonengagement. Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014 passed with few consequences for Russia, and as Russia prepared to invade the rest of Ukraine on Feb. It has been demonstrated by disengagement and withdrawal from conflicts (like in Afghanistan) and limited interventions (like in Syria, Libya, and Yemen), where Western forces reduced dependence on ground forces and concentrated on airstrikes and assistance to other fighting forces, such as the Saudis in Yemen and rebels in Syria.
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